Aug 17 2010

Like a bad party hangover…

Really, this isn’t unexpected, is it?

The real estate hangover

You go to a party, drink way too much, and end up regretting it the next day.  Many college students go through this unfortunate experience and it is how we learn our limits and how to make better choices for our bodies.  The tax credit intervention was kind of the same way…we knew the hangover would come to the real estate normal home sales volume for Salem Oregonmarket.  So what does a real estate hangover look like in Salem Oregon?

The blue outline is what home sales have looked like so far this year. The red is the year 2003.  I just wanted you to see what a more normal real estate cycle looks like for the Salem Oregon real estate market, specifically.

Typically as the year goes on we ramp up our sales, then slow down for the rainy season.  I get that…who wants to move in the rain in Oregon?  You don’t have to be a data geek to see the huge early boom we had.  Our market was premature due to the tax credit.  Sellers are stressed who expected this summer to be “prime real estate season” to be dealing with a lack of showings, but we all new things were happening too early.

For every action there is an equal and opposite reaction.

Sales of real estate in July for Salem OregonWell our real estate market didn’t realize that we weren’t dealing with physics here, but Sir Issac Newton’s laws of motion certainly apply to our market.   Home sales plunged 47% from last year’s July.   I told you that we would see a drop in sales a couple of months ago, but it did drop more than I expected.   I could feel the slowness of the market, which continues to be slow right now. August’s numbers won’t be stellar, I can tell you that already.

July’s average home price was down 7% from last year’s $204,727 to $190,222.  The median shifted downward a mere 2.5% to $183, 750.  The biggest concern I see right now in the housing market is that inventory in Salem Oregon proper  surged to 18.9 months.  This is NOT a good thing.   Our distressed property sector is holding fairly steady at 12.3% of the market.  This will climb a bit over the next year, I think, but it won’t ever be like the really hard hit areas of the country.

  • So, the distressed property sector is remaining fairly steady.
  • Real estate sales are down.
  • Home prices are down.
  • Inventory is seriously up.

So, what do I think?  I’ll get back to you after October.  Fall is typically a good real estate season in our city.  If things don’t perk up in the market for fall, as is typical, then the massive inventory that we have on the market right now will have no choice but to pummel real estate prices.

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Aug 13 2010

It’s a GIFT!

One of the most common frustrations I hear from Salem Oregon home buyers is that they are using GIFT funds for their down payment and they don’t understand why we have to pick apart the documentation…or even document it at all. This seems like a great place to shed some light on the whole gift issue, so here goes:

buying a Salem Oregon home with gift moniesWhen Mom, Dad, Uncle Jim, or Aunt Sue agree to give you $5000 to buy a new home, it seems like they should be able to give you the money and everyone’s happy. Unfortunately, lending guidelines require a little more than that. The issue is that they *could* be giving you a gift, but they *could* be expecting you to repay them as well. Family members aren’t afraid to tell a little white lie for one another… So…what if you are to repay the “gift”? Is there a monthly payment? Can you actually qualify WITH the payment to your relative? There really is a reason for all the nit-picking, I promise!

Once we get past the gift letter and accept the fact that we need to document the gift funds, the next big issue comes up: “WHY do you need to prove that the gift DONOR had the money to give?!?” Well, we have to look at lending guidelines again and see the common sense answer. A family member is likely to GIVE money to help another family member out. There is a select group of relationships that are allowed to give a gift. Your next door neighbor may have the money, but if you convince him to give it to you, he’s most likely going to want it back, right? So…since your neighbor has the money, and Aunt Sue is an acceptable gift donor, wouldn’t it be simple for the neighbor to give Aunt Sue the money to give you? Then there would be a new debt to the neighbor… So, the solution is to make sure Aunt Sue actually had the money to give in the first place. It’s frustrating, but it’s the only way to avoid loan fraud and putting people in homes they can’t actually afford.

home loans for Salem Oregon buyersSo, if you’re thinking of buying a home, and you plan on using a gift, take note of the items you’ll need to provide as documentation:

- Gift letter (provided by your lender)
- Copy of the gift check to you from the donor (Personal checks are best)
- Copy of the CANCELED check from the donor’s account (OR – if not a personal check – most recent bank statement from donor showing available funds, no unusual deposits, and the withdrawal of the gift)
- YOUR most recent bank statement, or transaction history signed by a teller, showing your balance after the gift was deposited.

If you gather this documentation carefully the first time around, the frustration level will drop considerably and the paperwork will cruise through underwriting.

One last tip: If you KNOW you’re going to be getting a gift, and you KNOW how much it will be…..deposit it in your bank account BEFORE you apply for your home loan, then you’ll ONLY need to provide a gift letter! It’s a little known secret that spares many a home buyer a ton of frustration and paperwork!

Please remember one last thing: in the world of home loans, the name of the game is DOCUMENTATION. It may seem excessive these days, but compared to the days of no documentation that got us in trouble, this is a good thing.

Carmen Babb is a Mortgage Consultant with Wells Fargo Home Loans here in Salem Oregon

Phone: 503-551-9690

MAC  P6202-024

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Aug 12 2010

Some agents need to be hit over the head with the bar…

Paul Slaybaugh, who is a really good Scottsdale Arizona real estate agent by the way, wrote an interesting blog post about buyer agent bonuses.  He syndicated it to the real estate network ActiveRain and a brouhaha ensued.    I think as a consumer you should take the time to read some of the comments and what some real estate agents across the country think about you knowing what they get paid.

Here’s the truth…well according to me anyway…

Home buyer bonus paid to Salem Oregon real estate agents?

Real estate agents buyer bonus?If a real estate agent has agreed to act as a buyer agent for a client, then that client has a right to know how their agent is going to get paid, how much, and for what services. Now real estate agents scream about raising the bar of the quality of real estate agents, but frankly I think some agents need to be hit over the head with the bar because they just don’t get it.

Now before you think there is some massively huge conspiracy going on in real estate, I pulled the WVMLS properties that are offering a buyer agent bonus: 123 of them out of 5, 492.  That’s 2.2% here folks.  It is not a common practice in our area to offer buyer agent bonuses, and I can tell you without running those numbers that a good chunk of those are bank owned properties.   So why should you care?

Well because you are spending a boatload and a half of your money to purchase a property.  The real estate machine will tell buyers that representation is free, but really it is amortized over 30 years and figured into the price of a home. For most people that pick a good buyer agent, it is worth the additional cost.    You know I have a great company attorney who bills me and writes next to it what he did for me.  My doctor bills me along with the services.  I know that consumers get that real estate agents don’t work for free.   I know you are all intelligent people and don’t need to be schmoozed with soundbites.  So what I don’t get is why agents feel compelled to not share how they get paid or what they get paid to provide services to someone that they agreed to represent.

The example I shared in a comment stream

Let’s say an agent is offering a $2,000 bonus +3% on a $200,000 home purchase.  So the buyer agent will make $8,000.  The seller runs their NET sheet and says “I want to net this amount.”  The seller negotiates from a position of net, unless they have a doofus agent who doesn’t know what a net sheet is.  The seller should only care about their bottom line.

So the seller doesn’t really care where that $2,000 goes, as long as it gets the property sold.  On that I totally agree with you…bonus, commission, closing costs…whatever…to the seller it is a tool.

Now, enter the buyer.  The seller won’t budge off their $200k price because they want to net a certain amount and the buyer loves the house so they agree.  NOW, if there was no bonus involved, the seller would have come down to $198,000 or given the buyer $2k in closing costs because it worked with their net numbers.

In this scenario the buyer loses $2,000 and the agent gains, but is that okay if the buyer isn’t aware of it?  I think the only way for a buyer agent to act as a true fiduciary to their client is to disclose any incentives.  I think a buyer has the right to know if their agent, potentially, has a conflict of interest.  If you are buying a house and hire an agent to be your representation, do you think the agent representing you has an ethical obligation to tell you of any financial incentives that they will receive as a result of bringing in a buyer to that property?

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Aug 10 2010

Chance to get a French Press gift certificate

Okay guys…you all have to put up with a little bit of real estate advertising every so often so this is fair warning! I organized an open house tour of some south Salem acreage properties. You can see what is on the tour on the google map. I have this seriously cool old home, that was the original Halls Ferry School, that is for sale. It is one of those places that you really have to go into to experience because pictures don’t do it justice.

So, this Sunday, I will be hanging out there from 1-4 showing people this cool place. I expect you all to come and visit me there. Hint, hint…okay hit you over the head with a hammer… I know that some of the people reading this blog aren’t looking to buy, BUT if you know anyone that likes old homes, PLEASE tell them to stop by and see this one. In fact, if you come into the open house and tell me that you read about the open house on my blog, I will give you a $10 gift certificate to French Press. That’s how awesome I am.

Oh, and if you want to meet John Kirk, who will at some point get his hiney in gear and be writing more posts here, he’ll be on the tour at 6685 Trillium. I really think Capital Taps and John need to meet since John is a brewer…this is your chance!

5032 Halls Ferry Rd, listed by Melina Tomson with Tomson Burnham, llc

$289,000 3 bed/1.5 bath, 2188 sq feet, 1.27 acres


View South Salem Small Acreage Tour of Homes in a larger map

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Aug 5 2010

Coming soon…

So do you really want to know how they do it?

You know…build a house in a week.

You’ve all watched the show…some of you may have cried…some of you may have gagged at the sappiness.  Either way, Extreme Makeover is hitting Salem Oregon.

If you are interested in volunteering or donating you can head over to the website for more information. They are, of course, looking for skilled trades people to help out as much as possible.  I know someone that participated in one up in the Seattle area and they said it was nuts.  Nuts meaning crazy busy.  So, if you are up for a nutty, crazy busy adventure…this is for you.

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